Nkandla (LM) by the numbers

29 May 2015
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Wowee, but our president and his humble pied–à–terre have been been the focus of all this attention. Here’s a bit more focus, looking at Nkandla the municipality which plays host to Nkandla the family home / compound / homestead / etc.

There are one or two interesting points. The municipality was a solid piece of IFP real estate after the 2006 municipal elections, was lost to an ANC-NFP coalition after the 2011 polls, and was wrested back by the IFP in a 2012 by-election.

The Zuma estate is also right on the border of the municipality, right next door to uMlalazi LM. Take a look at the maps. First up is a map of the province (KwaZulu-Natal) and the district in which Nkandla LM is found:

Nkandla local municipality, in uThungula district

Nkandla local municipality, in uThungula district

Nkandla municipality is in the uThungula district. This northern half of the province used to be quite solid IFP territory a decade ago, but the party’s hold on the area has been loosened. Here’s a look at the municipality using Google Earth:

Nkandla LM, with roads and mountains and such

Nkandla LM, with roads and mountains and such

The district is most famous for its coal terminal and port at Richards Bay (in the uMhlathuze municipality) but the Nkandla home of South Africa’s Number One Citizen is vying for the position of most famous landmark. Funnily enough, although the Zuma home and the municipality are now virtually synonymous, the former is right on the edge of the municipal border – have a look at an extreme close-up:

The hills are alive with the sounds of chicken

The hills are alive with the sounds of chicken

The Zuma home is in Ward 14 of the municipality, right on the border with Umlalazi. The ward is an ANC ward, in an ANC part of town. The map below shows the wards won by the IFP (eight) and the ANC (six) in the 2011 municipal elections:

The green, green wards of home

The green, green wards of home

The table below shows how narrowly the IFP lost the municipality in the 2011 elections. The party got 13 of the 27 council seats, losing out to a 14-seat ANC-NFP coalition:

Breakdown of municipal seats won in Nkandla, 2011 municipal elections.

Breakdown of municipal seats won in Nkandla, 2011 municipal elections.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The IFP fell very far from the 23 seats it won in the 2006 elections, when it left the ANC a distant second with just 4 seats. There has been no change in the number of seats in Nkandla LM between 2006 and 2011.

The ANC’s victory was short-lived, as the IFP won Ward 4 of the municipality in a December 2012 by-election, thereby regaining the municipality with an absolute majority. The possible tension between an IFP-controlled municipality and the ANC-controlled province might explain why it’s been difficult to coordinate fire drills at Nkandla.

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