Tag Archives: 2016 municipal elections

Cape Town: post-election analysis

23 August 2016

(Note: this article first appeared here) Introduction The City of Cape Town metro was once a fiercely contested battleground. Control of the metro changed hands a few times between 2000 and 2007, with various ANC-led and DA-led coalitions holding power at different points.

The new political landscape

7 August 2016

Below is the map of the status of South African municipalities after the 2016 municipal elections. The municipalities have been divided into those which have a clear majority and those which should need coalition governments. Those with a clear majority have been further divided into those which are relatively safe for the particular governing party […]

How much will we (and the ANC) miss the NFP in the 2016 elections?

6 July 2016

Barring some kind of miracle, the  National Freedom Party (NFP) isn’t going to be contesting the upcoming municipal elections. It’s an ignoble end to the party’s 2016 campaign and it’s quite possibly the end of the party as a regional force in northern KwaZulu-Natal. All available information suggests that the party has been in decline […]

Municipal boundary changes: Eastern Cape

12 May 2016

Here’s the first in a series of blogs analysing the changes in political boundaries and how these might affect the balance of power in some marginal municipalities. We’ll look at the boundary changes in the Eastern Cape province first.

Why do so many young people keep registering to vote?

20 April 2016

You might have heard the original joke, which goes along the lines of “The oldest man in the world has died. Again. Why does this keep happening?”.  Granted, it’s not the world’s funniest joke but the death of the world’s oldest man and the registration of the world’s youngest voters have something in common – […]

The two maps you need for 2016 analysis

5 April 2016

I know, I know, the headline is a little bit clickbaity. But you know that we have the good stuff on this blog. Here are two maps which will give you the solid background you need to speak intelligibly and intelligently about the upcoming municipal elections.

What do I do with my vote?

31 January 2016

This is a rant disguised as interlude between more serious posts. I don’t know who I will vote for in this year’s municipal elections, but the DA is back on the table. To paraphrase The Young Ones: ‘A principled political stance is like a garden shed, if you try and swallow it it will stick in your throat’