This post gives the potted history of Nquthu municipality and the surrounding areas, helping to explain why so many parties seem to be campaigning so hard for a relatively unimportant municipality.
(Note: this article first appeared here) Introduction The City of Cape Town metro was once a fiercely contested battleground. Control of the metro changed hands a few times between 2000 and 2007, with various ANC-led and DA-led coalitions holding power at different points.
All the buzz and hubbub is around the four metros where coalitions will be needed (Nelson Mandela Bay, Johannesburg, Tshwane and Ekurhuleni) but there are another 23 municipalities with no clear winners.
Below is the map of the status of South African municipalities after the 2016 municipal elections. The municipalities have been divided into those which have a clear majority and those which should need coalition governments. Those with a clear majority have been further divided into those which are relatively safe for the particular governing party […]
Barring some kind of miracle, the National Freedom Party (NFP) isn’t going to be contesting the upcoming municipal elections. It’s an ignoble end to the party’s 2016 campaign and it’s quite possibly the end of the party as a regional force in northern KwaZulu-Natal. All available information suggests that the party has been in decline […]
Here’s the first in a series of blogs analysing the changes in political boundaries and how these might affect the balance of power in some marginal municipalities. We’ll look at the boundary changes in the Eastern Cape province first.
You might have heard the original joke, which goes along the lines of “The oldest man in the world has died. Again. Why does this keep happening?”. Granted, it’s not the world’s funniest joke but the death of the world’s oldest man and the registration of the world’s youngest voters have something in common – […]
I know, I know, the headline is a little bit clickbaity. But you know that we have the good stuff on this blog. Here are two maps which will give you the solid background you need to speak intelligibly and intelligently about the upcoming municipal elections.
This is a rant disguised as interlude between more serious posts. I don’t know who I will vote for in this year’s municipal elections, but the DA is back on the table. To paraphrase The Young Ones: ‘A principled political stance is like a garden shed, if you try and swallow it it will stick in your throat’
The fun in by-election analysis – and it’s not a rich seam of fun – does not come from the Excel sheets and the tables and the maps. The fun comes from people’s reactions to the results.