I review about eight years’ worth of social grants, consumer inflation and Budget data to find the truth about social grants. They’re not a threat to fiscal stability but they’re being whittled down by inflation
When we think of gerrymandering we think of a deliberate process of manipulation that will benefit some political party. The old Nats definitely fixed the system to win a majority of seats in 1948, 1953 and 1958. There were accusations before the 2011 municipal elections that the ANC and DA were fixing ward boundaries in Gauteng and […]
I’ve been playing around with mapping software and municipal data. Here is a simple measure of financial risk in South African municipalities that I put together, with some of my ideas about what’s going on.
The biggest threat to modern medicine might not be Jenny McCarthy and the rest of the anti-vaxxers. It might be our very own Test captain, Hashim Amla, the poster boy for “phlegmatic”.
Ward by-elections are dominated by political parties and our only chance at direct elections becomes another process that involves the courts, the police and a series of negotiations behind closed doors. It’s not surprising that our analysis is focused on party rivalries and power balances. If your role in representative government is reduced to that of spectator, you start to seek out the spectacle.
The tables below summarise the results of the 26 November by-elections. Most of the wards were retained by the incumbent parties, although the ANC and the NFP lost a ward each:
by Paul Berkowitz and Wayne Sussman The tables below summarise the state of the 31 wards contested on Wednesday. Remember that there are also 6 PR seats (3 in Inkwanca and 3 in Mooi Mpofana) and 16 district council seats in Ngaka Modiri Molewa that are up for grabs:
by Wayne Sussman Inkwanca lies in the Eastern Cape, Chris Hani district, in the shadow of the Stormberg Mountains. This is the coldest part of the country, and former ANC councilors will be feeling the chill during Wednesday’s by-elections.
The by-elections on Wednesday 26 November are set to be the biggest since the 2011 municipal elections, and possibly the biggest in South Africa’s election history. There are a stonking 31 wards up for election, although five wards will be uncontested.